Suppose Obama doesn't win any of the three—chances are he won't—but in 2004 Bush won the three states by an average of over 15%.
Fast forward to Barack Obama, 2008, that number is down to just over 6%.
Holy smokes.
Is it even necessary to bring up that Obama is up now (by 1%) in Indiana, something yours truly didn't believe could happen.
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[graphs from electoral vote]
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